Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.4%
Bolton
22.9%
Draw
26.7%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Bolton
vs
1.09
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).