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HHT: 20

22 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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30.9%
Värnamo
27.2%
Draw
42.0%
Västerås SK

Expected Goals (xG)

1.31

Värnamo

vs
1.56

Västerås SK

Markets

BTTS59.1%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-0
6.9%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).