Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →53.0%
Almeria
21.3%
Draw
25.7%
Sporting Gijón
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Almeria
vs
1.36
Sporting Gijón
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.2%
1-0
7.0%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
0-1
4.7%
3-0
4.7%
3-2
4.3%
0-0
3.3%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).