Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.2%
Spal
29.4%
Draw
51.4%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
Spal
vs
1.44
Genoa
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.518.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
5.4%
2-1
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-2
3.4%
2-0
3.3%
0-4
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).