Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Leganes
32.5%
Draw
22.1%
Tenerife
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Leganes
vs
0.65
Tenerife
Markets
BTTS31.2%
Over 0.582.2%
Over 1.551.1%
Over 2.524.8%
Over 3.59.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.3%
0-0
17.8%
1-1
12.3%
0-1
11.8%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
6.7%
1-2
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.4%
2-2
2.2%
4-0
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).