Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Plymouth
24.4%
Draw
48.4%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Plymouth
vs
1.85
Hull
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.562.1%
Over 3.539.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
7.0%
2-1
6.9%
0-1
6.7%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.8%
0-0
4.9%
1-0
4.6%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
3.9%
2-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).