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HHT: 10CSV

13 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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31.8%
Virtus Entella
32.3%
Draw
36.0%
Trapani

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

Virtus Entella

vs
1.11

Trapani

Markets

BTTS44.4%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.3%
Over 2.536.0%
Over 3.516.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.1%
0-1
11.8%
1-0
10.8%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.7%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).