Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.6%
Bristol City
27.0%
Draw
38.4%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Bristol City
vs
1.46
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.6%
1-0
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).