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20 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.7%
Walsall
22.5%
Draw
24.9%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Walsall

vs
1.14

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS56.2%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.0%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).