Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.7%
Airdrie Utd
31.9%
Draw
44.4%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Airdrie Utd
vs
1.34
Ayr
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.587.6%
Over 1.568.1%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
12.4%
0-1
11.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
3.9%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).