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22 Sept 2024 · 15:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.6%
Lech Poznań
19.9%
Draw
15.5%
Śląsk Wrocław

Expected Goals (xG)

2.35

Lech Poznań

vs
1.09

Śląsk Wrocław

Markets

BTTS60.8%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.566.8%
Over 3.545.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.6%
3-0
6.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
4-1
4.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-0
4.1%
0-0
3.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).