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HHT: 30CSV

18 May 2024 · 14:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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8.0%
Heidenheim
13.6%
Draw
78.4%
FC Koln

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Heidenheim

vs
2.95

FC Koln

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.590.1%
Over 2.574.0%
Over 3.553.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
9.2%
0-3
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
1-3
8.2%
0-4
6.7%
1-4
6.1%
1-1
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-5
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-5
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).