Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Celta
25.6%
Draw
31.2%
Villarreal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Celta
vs
1.29
Villarreal
Markets
BTTS57.7%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
8.6%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).