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11 May 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.3%
Stockport
23.7%
Draw
16.0%
Torquay

Expected Goals (xG)

1.88

Stockport

vs
0.87

Torquay

Markets

BTTS50.2%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).