Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.4%
Red Star
27.6%
Draw
39.1%
Troyes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Red Star
vs
1.11
Troyes
Markets
BTTS41.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.561.4%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.5%
1-0
13.2%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
10.9%
1-2
7.5%
0-2
7.5%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).