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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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84.9%
Hanley Town
10.8%
Draw
4.3%
Queens Park Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

2.73

Hanley Town

vs
0.46

Queens Park Rangers

Markets

BTTS34.4%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.9%
Over 3.539.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
15.3%
3-0
13.9%
1-0
11.4%
4-0
9.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
5-0
5.2%
1-1
5.0%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
2.4%
0-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).