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04 May 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.0%
Leicester
28.6%
Draw
29.4%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.40

Leicester

vs
1.14

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.6%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).