Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.2%
Southampton
27.5%
Draw
58.3%
Nottingham Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Southampton
vs
1.63
Nottingham Forest
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.4%
0-2
12.9%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.3%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
7.0%
1-0
5.3%
1-3
4.9%
2-1
3.9%
2-2
3.2%
0-4
2.9%
2-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).