Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.2%
Rennes
21.8%
Draw
38.1%
Paris SG
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Rennes
vs
1.64
Paris SG
Markets
BTTS65.2%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
0-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.5%
3-2
3.9%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).