Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →90.7%
Barcelona
7.0%
Draw
2.3%
Oviedo
Expected Goals (xG)
3.43
Barcelona
vs
0.47
Oviedo
Markets
BTTS36.4%
Over 0.597.9%
Over 1.590.2%
Over 2.574.7%
Over 3.554.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
13.6%
2-0
11.9%
4-0
11.7%
5-0
8.0%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
2-1
5.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-1
3.8%
1-1
3.3%
0-0
2.1%
3-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).