Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.9%
Aldershot
22.0%
Draw
58.1%
Stockport
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Aldershot
vs
2.14
Stockport
Markets
BTTS62.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.585.4%
Over 2.564.9%
Over 3.542.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.9%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.5%
0-0
4.3%
2-3
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).