Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.7%
Servette
28.9%
Draw
35.4%
Lugano
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Servette
vs
1.44
Lugano
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
7.6%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-1
5.9%
2-0
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).