Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Sp Gijon
25.5%
Draw
27.2%
Albacete
Expected Goals (xG)
1.51
Sp Gijon
vs
1.07
Albacete
Markets
BTTS51.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.6%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
4.3%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).