Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.8%
Sunderland
31.2%
Draw
31.0%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Sunderland
vs
1.04
Norwich
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
11.7%
0-1
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).