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29 Sept 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.1%
FC Koln
21.2%
Draw
20.7%
Viborg FF

Expected Goals (xG)

2.24

FC Koln

vs
1.30

Viborg FF

Markets

BTTS65.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
5.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-1
4.0%
0-0
3.6%
0-1
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).