Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.7%
Villarreal
18.1%
Draw
12.2%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Villarreal
vs
0.86
Leganes
Markets
BTTS52.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.5%
3-0
8.6%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.4%
4-1
4.3%
2-2
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).