Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.2%
Sudtirol
34.7%
Draw
30.1%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Sudtirol
vs
0.89
Modena
Markets
BTTS38.2%
Over 0.583.3%
Over 1.557.2%
Over 2.528.9%
Over 3.512.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.7%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.8%
0-1
12.3%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
0-2
6.1%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
2.9%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.2%
0-3
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).