Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →75.5%
FC Koln
16.4%
Draw
8.1%
St Pauli
Expected Goals (xG)
2.46
FC Koln
vs
0.70
St Pauli
Markets
BTTS46.5%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.8%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
10.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-1
7.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
6.5%
0-0
4.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-0
3.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).