Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.4%
Boavista
16.5%
Draw
79.0%
Porto
Expected Goals (xG)
0.36
Boavista
vs
2.17
Porto
Markets
BTTS27.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
18.7%
0-1
16.8%
0-3
13.5%
0-0
8.5%
0-4
7.3%
1-2
6.8%
1-1
6.7%
1-3
4.9%
0-5
3.2%
1-4
2.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-2
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).