Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Empoli
24.6%
Draw
26.6%
Salernitana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
Empoli
vs
1.10
Salernitana
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.8%
Over 2.550.5%
Over 3.528.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).