Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →15.5%
Carlisle
24.6%
Draw
59.9%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.64
Carlisle
vs
1.56
Wigan
Markets
BTTS36.9%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.537.6%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.7%
0-2
13.5%
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
7.5%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
4.5%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
2.8%
0-4
2.7%
2-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).