Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.5%
Cartagena
18.6%
Draw
64.9%
Castellon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Cartagena
vs
2.30
Castellon
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.0%
1-1
8.4%
0-1
7.9%
1-3
7.5%
0-3
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-3
4.0%
0-4
4.0%
1-0
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).