Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Newport County
25.8%
Draw
55.8%
AFC Wimbledon
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Newport County
vs
1.45
AFC Wimbledon
Markets
BTTS37.8%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.2%
Over 3.516.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
17.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-1
11.3%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
2-0
2.8%
0-4
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).