Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.9%
Bristol City
25.8%
Draw
21.3%
Blackpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Bristol City
vs
0.99
Blackpool
Markets
BTTS52.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
0-1
6.0%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
0-2
3.4%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).