Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →73.7%
Millwall
18.7%
Draw
7.6%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
2.15
Millwall
vs
0.56
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.4%
1-0
13.6%
3-0
11.0%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
3.3%
0-1
3.0%
5-0
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).