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05 Oct 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.8%
Partick
31.6%
Draw
44.5%
Livingston

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Partick

vs
1.36

Livingston

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.0%
0-1
11.6%
0-2
9.3%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
1-3
4.0%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).