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AHT: 12CSV

07 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Queens Park
24.6%
Draw
11.9%
East Fife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.69

Queens Park

vs
0.59

East Fife

Markets

BTTS37.0%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.6%
2-0
14.6%
0-0
10.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
0-1
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-0
3.5%
1-2
3.0%
2-2
2.5%
4-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).