Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.8%
Karpaty
17.1%
Draw
11.1%
Poltava
Expected Goals (xG)
2.43
Karpaty
vs
0.86
Poltava
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.563.8%
Over 3.541.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-1
8.0%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
5.4%
4-1
4.7%
2-2
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).