Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Napoli
20.6%
Draw
10.4%
Cremonese
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
Napoli
vs
0.55
Cremonese
Markets
BTTS35.5%
Over 0.591.1%
Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.543.1%
Over 3.522.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
15.5%
3-0
9.6%
1-1
9.1%
0-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).