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DHT: 10CSV

22 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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54.3%
Bradford
25.9%
Draw
19.8%
Gillingham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Bradford

vs
0.69

Gillingham

Markets

BTTS36.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.560.2%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.4%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
11.6%
1-1
11.0%
0-1
9.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-2
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).