Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.2%
Union Berlin
23.9%
Draw
15.9%
Greuther Furth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Union Berlin
vs
0.83
Greuther Furth
Markets
BTTS48.0%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.1%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
7.7%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
5.9%
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).