Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.0%
Greuther Furth
23.1%
Draw
48.9%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Greuther Furth
vs
2.03
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS68.7%
Over 0.596.3%
Over 1.587.8%
Over 2.568.9%
Over 3.547.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
9.0%
2-2
6.8%
2-1
6.7%
1-3
6.1%
0-2
5.9%
0-1
5.0%
2-3
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
0-0
3.7%
1-0
3.5%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).