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AHT: 10CSV

17 Apr 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.8%
Alloa
26.1%
Draw
53.1%
Raith Rvs

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Alloa

vs
1.85

Raith Rvs

Markets

BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.9%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).