Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Sampdoria
26.2%
Draw
54.2%
Sassuolo
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Sampdoria
vs
1.70
Sassuolo
Markets
BTTS51.0%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-1
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).