Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.1%
Perugia
30.8%
Draw
48.1%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.80
Perugia
vs
1.34
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS41.8%
Over 0.586.9%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.535.9%
Over 3.516.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.1%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
5.0%
0-3
4.7%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).