Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.2%
Man United
22.2%
Draw
34.6%
Three Bridges
Expected Goals (xG)
1.76
Man United
vs
1.55
Three Bridges
Markets
BTTS64.9%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.542.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.8%
1-0
6.7%
0-1
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).