Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.6%
Cartagena
25.4%
Draw
40.9%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.28
Cartagena
vs
1.43
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.9%
Over 3.528.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
2-0
5.4%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).