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AHT: 01CSV

01 May 2021 · 15:00

Crewe

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.3%
Bristol Rvs
25.2%
Draw
35.5%
Crewe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.26

Bristol Rvs

vs
1.18

Crewe

Markets

BTTS48.5%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.1%
1-1
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
1-3
3.0%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).