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07 Feb 2021 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.4%
Brest
17.2%
Draw
15.4%
Bordeaux

Expected Goals (xG)

2.45

Brest

vs
1.09

Bordeaux

Markets

BTTS60.6%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.547.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
7.5%
1-0
7.3%
3-0
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
4.8%
4-0
4.4%
3-2
4.2%
1-2
4.2%
0-1
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).