Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Hull
29.0%
Draw
30.1%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Hull
vs
1.13
Stoke
Markets
BTTS51.3%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.2%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
3.9%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).